PRESIDENT OBAMA MUST DECLARE A STATE OF EXTREME NATIONAL EMERGENCY AND CEASE ORCHESTRATING A WAR WITH RUSSIA. HE MUST RECALL HIS ENTIRE ARMY AND NAVY PERSONNEL TO THE UNITED STATES TO BEGIN A MASSIVE CONVERSION OF THE US ENERGY SYSTEM TO SOLAR AND WIND POWER. THIS CONVERSION MUST RESULT IN ALL 600 COAL POWER STATIONS AND NUCLEAR STATIONS BEING COMPLETELY SHUT DOWN IN THE NEXT 5 TO 10 YEARS. ALL SURFACE TRANSPORT BOTH PRIVATE AND PUBLIC MUST BE ENTIRELY ELECTRIFIED AND AIR TRANSPORT CONVERTED TO METHANE OR HYDROGEN FUEL. IF THIS IS NOT DONE, HUMANITY WILL BE FACING TOTAL EXTINCTION IN AN ARCTIC METHANE FIRESTORM BETWEEN 2040 AND 2050.
The US and Canada must cut their global emissions of carbon dioxide by 90% in the next 10 to 15 years, otherwise they will be become an instrument of mass destruction of the Earth and its entire human population. Recovery of the United States economy from the financial crisis has been very unsoundly based by the present Administration on an extremely hazardous "all of the above" energy policy that has allowed continent wide gas fracking, coal and oil sand oil mining and the return of widespread drilling to the Gulf. Coast. This large amount of fossil fuel has to be transported and sold which has caused extensive spills, explosions and confrontations with US citizens over fracking and the Keystone XL pipeline. Gas fracking is in the process of destroying the entire aquifer systems of the United States and causing widespread earthquakes. The oil spills are doing the same to the surface river run off.
We are now facing a devastating final show down with Mother Nature, which is being massively accelerated by the filthy extraction of fossil fuels by US and Canada by gas fracking, coal and tar sand mining and continent wide bitumen transport. The United States and other developed nations made a fatal mistake by refusing to sign the original Kyoto protocols. The United States and Canada must now cease all their fossil fuel extraction and go entirely onto renewable energy in the next 10 to 15 years otherwise they will be guilty of planetary ecocide - genocide by the 2050's.
The volume transport of the Gulf Stream has increased by three times since the 1940's due to the rising atmospheric pressure difference set up between the polluted, greenhouse gas rich air above North America and the marine Atlantic Air. The increasingly heated Gulf Stream with its associated high winds and energy rich weather systems then flows NE to Europe where it recently pummeled Great Britain with catastrophic storms. Other branches of the Gulf Stream then enter the Arctic and disassociate the subsea Arctic methane hydrate seals on subsea and deep high - pressure mantle methane reservoirs below the Eurasian Basin- Laptev Sea transition. This is releasing increasing amounts of methane into the atmosphere producing anomalous temperatures, greater than 20°C above average. Over very short time periods of a few days to a few months the atmospheric methane has a global warming potential from 1000 to 100 times that of carbon dioxide.
There are such massive reserves of methane in the subsea Arctic methane hydrates, that if only a few percent of them are disassociated, they will lead to a jump in the average temperature of the Earth's atmosphere by 10°C and produce a "Permian" style major extinction event which will kill us all. The whole northern hemisphere is now covered by a thickening atmospheric methane global warming veil that is spreading southwards at about 1 km a day and it already totally envelopes the United States. A giant hole in the equatorial ozone layer has also been discovered in the west Pacific which acts like an elevator transferring methane from lower altitudes to the stratosphere where it already forms a dense equatorial global warming stratospheric band that is spreading into the Polar regions.
During the last winter, the high Arctic winter temperatures and pressures have displaced the normal freezing Arctic Air south into Canada and the United States producing never before seen, freezing winter storms and massive power failures. When the Arctic ice cap finally melts towards the end of next year, the Arctic sea will be aggressively heated by the sun and the Gulf Stream. The cold Arctic air will then be confined to the Greenland Ice cap and the hot globally warmed Arctic air with its methane will flow south to the United States to further heat up the Gulf Stream, setting up an anticlockwise circulation around Greenland. Under these circumstances Great Britain and Europe must expect even more catastrophic storm systems, hurricane force winds and massive flooding after the end of next year due to a further acceleration in the energy transport of the Gulf Stream. If this process continues unchecked the mean temperature of the atmosphere will rise a further 8° centigrade and we will be facing global deglaciation, a more than 200 feet rise in sea level rise and a major terminal extinction event by the 2050's.
Unless framework is created to line the world up to happily work together in Peace and give keeping Earth alive our best shot, the real college try; Then:
ReplyDeleteThe Physics of Climate Change in a monetary world with no direct link between money and Earth's Health is that of Closed System in which entropy will rise.
Under system isolation as described by Second Law of Thermodynamics http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_law_of_thermodynamics
As long as unit of money is legal tender and Corporate has rights of personhood in essence with sovereignty of Standing, Legal Standing and Earth is externalized
no matter how hard a group or individual might work to try and reverse this - Corporate Worm Turns. And runs end somehow or other.
To end this, - Civilization must make a quantum leap to end Isolation of Earth's health.
What are your methane ppb predictions for the next few years?
ReplyDeleteI fear that the huge amounts of ocean heat now accumulating in the north Atlantic and the North Pacific will progressively enter and warm up the Arctic Ocean's seafloor, causing huge eruptions of methane from destabilizting clathrates. This will cause even more extreme weather (especially around latitude 60N), even more emissions, etc. I avoid making predictions of specific methane levels, say, one or two years fron now, as they alone do not picture the full threat constituted by the combined impact of feedbacks, many of which are non-linear and self-reinforcing. See the Feebacks page at the Climate Plan blog.
DeleteI would not expect some kind drastic changes in the near future. Ice area is the same as a year ago. Therefore, methane emissions will be small. The same as a year ago. This also applies the weather anomalies.
ReplyDeleteWarm water next to Svalbard? In the Barents Sea is very cold. If this water, west of Svalbard is warm undersea volcano. It does not have to worry about. It's a natural process. What other global warming. In my opinion, a complete melting of ice in the Arctic will be 5-10 years. A not per 2 or 3 years.
Loss of Arctic sea ice is only one out of many feedbacks of global warming, Hubert. This year, surface temperatures over the Arctic and sea ice loss may have been a bit closer to what they used to be, but this is far outweighed by higher ocean heat, as discussed in the recent post Antarctica linked to Arctic. This ocean heat is now threatening to invade the Arctic Ocean and destabilize methane hydrates in sediments under the Arctic Ocean's seafloor.
DeleteAbout a year ago, I discussed the warm sea surface temperatures west of Svalbard in this post. I then wrote that these hot spots could be caused by undersea volcanic activity. However, while volcanism may warm up the water on its way north, the persistence with which this phenomenon is reoccurring at this location, around the same time of year, indicates that the Gulf Stream is pushing very warm water through this narrow and partly shallow passageway west of Svalbard and that warm water is coming to the surface in this area as it collides with the colder water there.
Hi Sam,
ReplyDeleteIncluded your graph in a post at Fin Des Vioes Rapides (If Peak Oil Were No Object), here:
http://ifpeakoilwerenoobject.blogspot.com/2014/09/ta-ra-ra-boom-de-ay-part-3a.html
Thank you!