tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3046701423623795423.post1036587681958894840..comments2024-03-10T00:59:44.185-08:00Comments on Arctic News: Ten Degrees Warmer In A Decade?Sam Caranahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12376449209858411775noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3046701423623795423.post-3437286572847391572016-05-03T10:43:15.413-07:002016-05-03T10:43:15.413-07:00Fantastic graphic and post. The realistic outcome...Fantastic graphic and post. The realistic outcome is somewhere between the two poles of 3.5C and 10C though there is some indication that the aerosol feedback mechanism is not an instantaneous response but will take some time to 1) move out of the atmosphere, 2) begin to impact the lapse rate feedback over a few years and 3) continue to warm and allow for the water vapor feedback over the next 7 years to increase. So the 3.5C in 10 years is likely a good low value but indicates a rapidly rising value after that. We are in for a very rough ride indeed. Expect sea ice meltout by September 2019, possibly much earler.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15367966962520006086noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3046701423623795423.post-32626535155621232016-03-11T10:27:20.681-08:002016-03-11T10:27:20.681-08:00Yeah, the link only shows what was selected. Go to...Yeah, the link only shows what was selected. Go to the <a href="http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/maps/" rel="nofollow">NASA site</a> and make your selections. Sam Caranahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12376449209858411775noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3046701423623795423.post-37250064505841480652016-03-11T10:10:31.910-08:002016-03-11T10:10:31.910-08:00Hello Sam
I just wrote an article on my blog looki...Hello Sam<br />I just wrote an article on my blog looking at the recent acceleration in global average warming.<br />http://leclimatoblogue.blogspot.ca/2016/03/alerte-le-seuil-des-changements_11.html<br />When I started my blog in April 2015, we were at 0'9°C (ish) of global warming over the 1880 average.<br />The last 3 months, December 2015, January 2016 and February 2016 are the warmest on record in that order. February 2016 sits at 1,67°C above the 1880'ish average.<br />Flabbergasting!<br />Some say that satellite inferred temperatures are overly sensitive to El Nino but I'm not convinced of that yet, and it's hard to know by how much. <br />Do you have insights on that?<br />Nevertheless it's a worrying trend even in an El Nino period, we all know temps won't go down but will keep going up ; such a warming wasn't observed during the 1997-1998 El Nino either.<br />Paul Beckwith said that the Arctic has warmed by 5°C and up to 9°C in some areas.<br />Any confirmation of those numbers would be appreciated as my next article will be about the Arctic and what happened there this winter along with the consequences this will bring Southward.<br />This article on permafrost just came out, I thought it might interest you : https://eos.org/research-spotlights/permafrost-area-is-sensitive-to-key-soil-and-snow-physics<br />Have a nice day and keep fighting<br /><br />JackA. Randomjackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06761239182569631894noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3046701423623795423.post-81687765351075084782016-03-11T09:23:36.418-08:002016-03-11T09:23:36.418-08:00How do you get to 1.92 ? The link provided doesn&#...How do you get to 1.92 ? The link provided doesn't work.queuehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13700195176285254614noreply@blogger.com